Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.146897 3.503443 3.889571 4.339725 4.851264 5.415802 6.087806
2025-03-09 2.584140 3.052554 3.595817 4.275911 5.109319 6.103414 7.388045
2025-03-16 2.225144 2.745449 3.380325 4.218947 5.307858 6.688009 8.592212
2025-03-23 2.056565 2.631441 3.363512 4.375822 5.757719 7.605054 10.307242
2025-03-30 1.865556 2.458858 3.241309 4.365150 5.965091 8.202958 11.645652
2025-04-06 1.702380 2.301922 3.116971 4.327203 6.115332 8.719764 12.913655
2025-04-13 1.507882 2.081697 2.881312 4.101508 5.960735 8.762052 13.450850
2025-04-20 1.410623 1.988727 2.814796 4.111064 6.149881 9.331938 14.878933
2025-04-27 1.346326 1.936763 2.801141 4.194865 6.456208 10.110696 16.745433
2025-05-04 1.288108 1.888124 2.786622 4.272841 6.756395 10.905926 18.741133
2025-05-11 1.228288 1.831732 2.754390 4.317152 7.001512 11.629466 20.700731
2025-05-18 1.171258 1.774961 2.716172 4.346280 7.220297 12.325838 22.700262
2025-05-25 1.086438 1.669931 2.595460 4.230533 7.181460 12.567234 23.876134
2025-06-01 1.022753 1.594662 2.517770 4.181776 7.257510 13.029410 25.569160
2025-06-08 0.964223 1.523772 2.441919 4.128970 7.319252 13.468427 27.276928
2025-06-15 0.947189 1.520589 2.479806 4.282558 7.785180 14.755785 31.046304
2025-06-22 0.903825 1.469666 2.431264 4.272271 7.930055 15.405664 33.471952
2025-06-29 0.859729 1.414614 2.371469 4.235281 8.016724 15.941360 35.713334
2025-07-06 0.791272 1.313015 2.222160 4.015106 7.708088 15.589320 35.716150
2025-07-13 0.761635 1.278468 2.191993 4.024431 7.878046 16.311801 38.560784
2025-07-20 0.744103 1.264472 2.198378 4.106189 8.209440 17.438813 42.670205
2025-07-27 0.726737 1.249643 2.202011 4.182258 8.535590 18.594227 47.081249
2025-08-03 0.706129 1.227570 2.190331 4.225484 8.792322 19.615379 51.315903